Kenyans’ Perceptions of Foreign Debt

InfoTrak Poll · 20th–23rd December 2020

Kenyans’ Perception of Foreign Debt

As Kenya has industrialized and invested heavily in infrastructure, it has borrowed extensively from foreign governments and lenders. This poll asked Kenyans nationally: which is better — development for us, or development by us? It measures how the public views the country’s appetite for foreign loans, who is seen to be lending, how well government is judged to be handling the debt, and how the scale of that debt makes people feel.

829
Respondents (n)
24
Counties Covered
±3.5%
Margin of Error
94%
Response Rate

Background

Which is better? Development for us, or development by us?

As a developing country and one of the largest economies in sub-Saharan Africa, Kenya continues to industrialize and invest heavily in its infrastructure. In order to achieve its development goals, Kenya has borrowed heavily and gone out of its way to attract multiple investors in different sectors from across the world.

In the last decade a lot of this investment has gone to transport (road, ports and railways), energy, agriculture and housing. Many argue, though, that these projects are unsustainable.

Some Ongoing & Proposed Projects

  • The proposed Lamu coal powered plant
  • The Nairobi Expressway
  • The Standard Gauge Railway project
  • Multiple China Road and Bridge Corporation construction projects

Survey Methodology

Fieldwork Dates
20th – 23rd December 2020
Interview Method
Quantitative interviews via Computer Assisted Telephone Interviews (CATI)
Universe & Sample
Persons aged 18+; target sample of 800 respondents (829 achieved)
Margin of Error
±3.5% at 95% degree of confidence
Response Rate
94% response rate
Weighting
Post-stratification weights applied so the achieved data reflects the demographic profile of Kenya’s 18+ population
Geographical Coverage
24 counties across all 8 regions of Kenya, sampled proportionate to population; Rift Valley had the largest sample, North Eastern the smallest
Data Analysis
Processed and analysed using SPSS version 26

Sample Distribution by Region

Regional population, 18+ population, sample proportion and achieved sample size.

Region Population (M) 18+ Population (M) Sample Proportion Regional Sample Achieved Sample

Kenyans Oppose the State’s Appetite for Foreign Loans

Due to its development obligations, Kenya regularly borrows money from foreign governments to finance projects. Do you think this is a good thing? (n = 829)

62%

No, not a good thing — 62%
Yes, a good thing — 36%
Don’t know — 2%

By Region — Central, Coast and Rift Valley Are Most Opposed

Region Yes, Good Thing No, Not Good Don’t Know

Perceived Source of Kenya’s Loans

Which one country would you say gives Kenya a lot of loans? (n = 829)

Why Lenders Keep Giving Kenya Loans

In your opinion, why do you think it that …… keeps giving Kenya loans for development purposes? (n = 829)

“The Kenyan Government Keeps Asking It For Loans”

“It Doesn’t Care How Loans Are Used, As Long As Repaid With Interest”

4 in 10 Kenyans Define Bad Debt as Money Lost to Corruption

Which of the following would you say best defines what BAD DEBT is for a country like Kenya? (n = 829)

Government’s Handling of Foreign Debt Rated Poor

On a scale of 1–10 where 1 is extremely poorly and 10 is very well, how would you rate the Kenyan government’s handling of its debt owed to foreign nations? (n = 829)

52%

Poor — 52%
Average — 32%
Excellent — 12%
Don’t know — 4%

By Region — Western, Coast, Central, Nairobi and Eastern Rate It Most Poorly

Region Poor Average Excellent Don’t Know

81% Feel Anxious, Fearful or Angry About Kenya’s Debt

Overall, which of the following describes how you feel about the level of Kenya’s foreign debt? (n = 829)

By Region — Nyanza, Western, Eastern and North Eastern Are Most Anxious

Top Concerns About Kenya’s Foreign Debt

What concerns you the most about the level of Kenya’s foreign debt? (n = 829)

By Region

Who We Spoke To: Survey Demographics

Profile of the 829 achieved respondents

Gender
Female49%
Male51%
Location
Rural64%
Urban36%
Religion
Protestant69%
Catholic23%
Muslim6%
None2%
Hindu0.1%
Age
18–24 (largest single band)25%
30–3414%
40–449%
50–556%
Employment
Seeking work / none available51%
Employed / working44%
Economically inactive4%
Level of Education
Secondary43%
Primary21%
College20%
University13%
None3%
Monthly Household Income
Under KES 10,00063%
KES 10,001–20,00020%
KES 20,001–40,0007%
Refused to answer6%
Persons With Disability
Non-PLWD95%
PLWD5%

About InfoTrak Research & Consulting

Infotrak has proven to be an integral and reliable partner not only in providing business solutions but also governance & public policy insights.

Infotrak Research and Consulting is a professional research company founded and incorporated under the laws of Kenya in 2004, following the vision of the founder to provide the Pan African market with suitable information solutions required to sustain the needs of the ever-growing economies. Headquartered in Nairobi, Kenya, Infotrak also has affiliate offices in Lagos, Nigeria and field contacts in more than 20 other countries in sub-Saharan Africa.

Vision: To be the leading Market & Social research firm in sub-Saharan Africa. Mission: To be a one-stop, information solutions provider to clients who want to be leaders in their fields. Belief: Information is power — only those who really know how to use it become truly powerful.

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