Infotrak Voice Of The People Poll July 2026
infotrakResearch & Consulting
INFOTRAK VOICE
OF THE
PEOPLE POLL
Citizen views, national mood,
and public priorities.
JUNE 2026
INFOTRAK VOICE OF THE PEOPLE POLL JUNE 2026:
ELECTIONS & PARTY POLITICS
ELECTIONS & PARTY POLITICS
POLL METHODOLOGY
▾
KEY TAKEOUT
Nationally representative survey of 3,000 adults across all 47 counties, conducted 22nd–26th June 2026 using mixed-mode data collection (CAPI and CATI), with a ±1.79% margin of error at 95% confidence and a 99% response rate.
SPONSOR
Sponsored and financed by Infotrak Research & Consulting Ltd
FIELDWORK DATES
22nd–26th June 2026
SAMPLE
3,000 adults aged 18+
INTERVIEW METHOD
Mixed mode using CAPI and CATI to ensure all respondents are given equal chance to participate
MARGIN OF ERROR
±1.79% at 95% confidence
RESPONSE RATE
99%
COVERAGE
All 47 counties and 8 regions
DATA ANALYSIS
SPSS 27
METHODOLOGY NOTES
Sample allocation used Probability Proportional to Size (PPS) based on the 2019 Kenya Population and Housing Census.
Where achieved interviews differed slightly from target proportions, data was weighted to correct over- or under-sampling.
Mixed-mode interviewing improved inclusion and participation across respondent groups.
National coverage across all 47 counties ensured broad representativeness.
Detailed methodological tables can appear in the appendix.
SAMPLE DISTRIBUTION & RESPONDENT DEMOGRAPHICS
▾
KEY TAKEOUT
The nationally representative sample of 3,000 adults was proportionately allocated across Kenya’s 8 regions and reflects a broadly balanced demographic profile by gender, age, education, employment and religion.
SAMPLE DISTRIBUTION
| Region | Adult Population (Millions) | Regional Proportions | Sample Achieved per Region |
|---|---|---|---|
| Coast | 2.3 | 9% | 272 |
| North Eastern | 1.0 | 4% | 119 |
| Eastern | 3.9 | 15% | 451 |
| Central | 3.4 | 13% | 401 |
| Rift Valley | 6.6 | 26% | 767 |
| Western | 2.5 | 10% | 288 |
| Nyanza | 3.2 | 12% | 368 |
| Nairobi City | 2.9 | 11% | 334 |
| TOTAL | 25.8 | 100% | 3000 |
The sample was proportionately spread across all the 47 counties of Kenya.
RESPONDENT DEMOGRAPHICS
Gender
Male 54%Female 46%
Age
Employment
Level of Education
Religion
n = 3000
BROADBASED GOVERNMENT
AWARENESS & SUPPORT
AWARENESS OF THE BROAD-BASED GOVERNMENT
▾
KEY TAKEOUT
Awareness of the Broad-Based Government is high at 79%, Awareness is strongest among 18–26 year olds (86%), men (84%) and Nairobi residents (84%), and remains above 70% across all regions and demographic groups. Nationally, 16% say they are unaware, while 6% are not sure.
AWARENESS OVERALL & BY REGION
79%
YesNoNot sure
Coast
North Eastern
Eastern
Central
Rift Valley
Western
Nyanza
Nairobi
Overall
BY GENDER & AGE
YesNoNot sure
Female
Male
18 – 26 years
27 – 35 years
36 – 45 years
46 – 55 years
Over 55 years
Overall
Have you heard about the idea/issue of the broad-based government in Kenya? (I.e. cooperation between Kenya Kwanza and ODM)n = 3000
LEVEL OF SUPPORT FOR BROAD-BASED GOVERNMENT
▾
KEY TAKEOUT
Only 33% of Kenyans support the broad-based government, while 37% oppose it. A further 27% neither support nor oppose, and 3% are not sure.
LEVEL OF SUPPORT: BY REGION (%)
| Coast | North Eastern | Eastern | Central | Rift Valley | Western | Nyanza | Nairobi | Overall | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Support | 28% | 48% | 27% | 19% | 45% | 33% | 44% | 24% | 33% |
| Neither support nor oppose | 32% | 32% | 25% | 36% | 26% | 25% | 24% | 23% | 27% |
| Oppose | 36% | 16% | 46% | 42% | 26% | 39% | 29% | 50% | 37% |
| Not sure/Don’t Know | 4% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% |
LEVEL OF SUPPORT: BY GENDER & AGE (%)
| Female | Male | 18–26 | 27–35 | 36–45 | 46–55 | Over 55 | Overall | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Support | 29% | 36% | 38% | 32% | 30% | 32% | 34% | 33% |
| Neither support nor oppose | 33% | 22% | 18% | 29% | 31% | 29% | 30% | 27% |
| Oppose | 34% | 39% | 42% | 35% | 36% | 35% | 33% | 37% |
| Not sure/Don’t Know | 4% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 3% |
REASONS FOR SUPPORT
Peace, political stability & reduced tension35%
National unity & cohesion28%
Development/service delivery24%
Inclusivity & equitable distribution across regions/communities7%
Good leadership/cooperation among leaders & parties5%
Government accountability/checks & balances1%
n = 906
REASONS FOR OPPOSITION
Non/limited development or poor government performance40%
Self-serving/personal gain for politicians19%
Corruption16%
Weakens opposition/reduces accountability11%
Unclear agenda for union7%
Tribalism/favoritism/unequal treatment4%
Increased government cost/taxpayer burden2%
n = 1007
From what you know or may have heard, to what extent do you support or oppose a broad-based government that brings together leaders from different political sides to work together?n = 2356
BROAD-BASED GOVERNMENT: KEY TAKE OUTS
▾
KEY TAKEOUT
Awareness is high (79%), but public opinion is divided:
33% support, 37% oppose, 27% are neutral, and 3% are unsure.
AWARENESS & OVERALL SENTIMENT
79%
AWARENESS
33%
Support
27%
Neither support nor oppose
37%
Oppose
3%
Not sure/Don’t know
Awareness n = 3000 | Support question n = 2356
SUPPORT BY REGION
HIGHEST SUPPORT: North Eastern (48%), Rift Valley (45%), Nyanza (44%)
LOWEST SUPPORT: Central (19%), Nairobi (24%)
TOP 3 REASONS FOR SUPPORT (Base: Supporters n = 906)
Peace, political stability & reduced tension35%
National unity & cohesion28%
Development/service delivery24%
TOP 3 REASONS FOR OPPOSITION (Base: Opponents n = 1007)
Non/limited development or poor government performance40%
Self-serving/personal gain for politicians19%
Corruption16%
KEY TAKE OUTS
1
Awareness is high, but support is not a majority position.
2
Support is strongest in North Eastern, Rift Valley and Nyanza.
3
Central and Nairobi are the coolest toward the arrangement.
4
Supporters cite peace and unity; opponents judge it through performance and corruption.
Source: Infotrak Voice of the People Poll, July 2026
BROAD-BASED GOVERNMENT: KEY TAKE OUTS
▾
KEY TAKEOUT
Awareness is high at 79%, but public opinion is divided: 33% support the Broad-Based Government, 37% oppose it, 27% are neutral, and 3% are unsure.
1
AWARENESS & OVERALL SENTIMENT
79%
AWARENESS
33%
Support
27%
Neither support nor oppose
37%
Oppose
3%
Not sure/Don’t know
Awareness n = 3000 | Support question n = 2356
2
REGIONAL DIVIDE: LEVEL OF SUPPORT
SUPPORT BY REGION
↑ HIGHEST SUPPORT: North Eastern (48%), Rift Valley (45%), Nyanza (44%)
↓ LOWEST SUPPORT: Central (19%) and Nairobi (24%); opposition peaks in Nairobi (50%) and Eastern (46%)
3
WHY KENYANS SUPPORT / OPPOSE
TOP 3 REASONS FOR SUPPORT
Peace, political stability & reduced tension35%
National unity & cohesion28%
Development/service delivery24%
Base: Supporters (n = 906)
TOP 3 REASONS FOR OPPOSITION
Non/limited development or poor government performance40%
Self-serving/personal gain for politicians19%
Corruption16%
Base: Opponents (n = 1007)
4
FOOD FOR THOUGHT
High awareness, limited buy-in
The Broad-Based Government is widely known, but awareness has not translated into majority support. Opposition (37%) slightly exceeds support (33%).
A regional, not national, consensus
Support is concentrated in North Eastern, Rift Valley and Nyanza, while Central and Nairobi remain notably cooler toward the arrangement.
Peace attracts supporters; performance drives critics
Supporters link the arrangement to peace and cohesion, while opponents judge it more harshly through the lens of government performance and corruption.
Demographic differences are real, but not dramatic
Men are more supportive than women (36% vs 29%), while younger adults aged 18–26 are the most polarised (38% support; 42% oppose).
Source: Infotrak Voice of the People Poll, July 2026 | Awareness n = 3000 | Support n = 2356
2027 PRESIDENTIAL RACE
ASPIRANT POPULARITY
POPULARITY OF PRESIDENTIAL ASPIRANTS
▾
KEY TAKEOUT
William Ruto leads at 32%. Kalonzo Musyoka follows at 13%, while Edwin Sifuna and Dr. Fred Matiang’i are tied at 12%. Undecided voters remain significant at 18%.
POPULARITY OF PRESIDENTIAL ASPIRANTS
Others (1%) includes:
George Natembeya, Eugene Wamalwa, Ndindi Nyoro, Okiya Omtatah, Ekuru Aokot, George Wajackoyah, Jimmy Wanjigi.
George Natembeya, Eugene Wamalwa, Ndindi Nyoro, Okiya Omtatah, Ekuru Aokot, George Wajackoyah, Jimmy Wanjigi.
WILLIAM RUTO
32%
Kalonzo Musyoka
13%
Edwin Sifuna
12%
Dr. Fred Matiang’i
12%
Rigathi Gachagua
4%
Babu Owino
3%
David Maraga
2%
Martha Karua
1%
If a presidential election was held today, who would you most likely vote for if that person was a candidate?n = 3000
POPULARITY OF PRESIDENTIAL ASPIRANTS: BY REGION
▾
PERCENTAGE SUPPORT BY REGION (%)
| RANK | ASPIRANT | OVERALL | Coast | North Eastern | Eastern | Central | Rift Valley | Western | Nyanza | Nairobi | OVERALL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | William Ruto | 32% | 33% | 59% | 19% | 12% | 46% | 35% | 40% | 19% | 32% |
| 2 | Kalonzo Musyoka | 13% | 9% | 6% | 40% | 13% | 9% | 4% | 4% | 9% | 13% |
| 3= | Edwin Sifuna | 12% | 13% | 8% | 7% | 11% | 12% | 26% | 10% | 14% | 12% |
| 3= | Fred Matiang’i | 12% | 9% | 6% | 10% | 19% | 9% | 8% | 17% | 16% | 12% |
| 5 | Rigathi Gachagua | 4% | – | 4% | 3% | 12% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% |
| 6 | Babu Owino | 3% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 9% | 6% | 3% |
| 7 | David Maraga | 2% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 2% |
| 8= | Martha Karua | 1% | 1% | – | 0.2% | 2% | 1% | 0.3% | 1% | – | 1% |
| 8= | Others* | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| Prefer not to say | 3% | 1% | – | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 3% | |
| Undecided | 18% | 24% | 13% | 13% | 26% | 14% | 19% | 11% | 24% | 18% |
* Others (1%) include: George Natembeya, Eugene Wamalwa, Ndindi Nyoro, Okiya Omtatah, Ekuru Aokot, George Wajackoyah and Jimmy Wanjigi
KEY TAKEAWAYS
1
William Ruto leads overall at 32%, with strongest regional support in North Eastern (59%), Rift Valley (46%) and Nyanza (40%).
2
Kalonzo Musyoka’s strongest showing is in Eastern (40%), where he leads the field.
3
Central remains competitive: no aspirant reaches 20%, while undecided is highest at 26%.
4
Western shows a two-horse pattern between Ruto (35%) and Edwin Sifuna (26%), while Nairobi remains fluid, with 24% undecided.
If a presidential election was held today, who would you most likely vote for if that person was a candidate?n = 3000
POPULARITY OF PRESIDENTIAL ASPIRANTS: BY GENDER & AGE
▾
KEY TAKEOUTS
1
President William Ruto leads across both genders and all age groups, with his strongest showing among 46–55 year olds (38%) and among men (34%).
2
Kalonzo Musyoka is the steadiest challenger, polling 13% among both women and men and peaking at 16% among voters aged over 55.
3
Edwin Sifuna shows the strongest youth appeal at 20% among 18–26 year olds, while Fred Matiang’i peaks at 14% among 36–45 year olds.
4
Undecided voters remain significant among women (20% vs 15% men) and older cohorts—24% among over 55s and 23% among 46–55s—but are only 4% among 18–26 year olds.
BY GENDER
| Female | Male | Overall | |
|---|---|---|---|
| President William Ruto | 30% | 34% | 32% |
| Kalonzo Musyoka | 13% | 13% | 13% |
| Edwin Sifuna | 11% | 13% | 12% |
| Dr. Fred Matiang’i | 10% | 13% | 12% |
| Rigathi Gachagua | 4% | 3% | 4% |
| Babu Owino | 3% | 3% | 3% |
| David Maraga | 2% | 2% | 2% |
| Martha Karua | 1% | 0.4% | 1% |
| Others | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| Prefer not to say | 4% | 2% | 3% |
| Undecided | 20% | 15% | 18% |
BY AGE
| 18–26 years | 27–35 years | 36–45 years | 46–55 years | Over 55 years | Overall | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| President William Ruto | 28% | 31% | 32% | 38% | 33% | 32% |
| Kalonzo Musyoka | 13% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 16% | 13% |
| Edwin Sifuna | 20% | 14% | 10% | 9% | 5% | 12% |
| Dr. Fred Matiang’i | 12% | 10% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 12% |
| Rigathi Gachagua | 6% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 4% |
| Babu Owino | 6% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 3% |
| David Maraga | 1% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 0.3% | 2% |
| Martha Karua | 1% | 0.3% | 1% | 0.2% | 1% | 1% |
| Others | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| Prefer not to say | 7% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 3% |
| Undecided | 4% | 21% | 20% | 23% | 24% | 18% |
If a presidential election was held today, who would you most likely vote for if that person was a candidate?n = 3000
PRESIDENTIAL ASPIRANTS: SUPPORT BY POLITICAL PARTY PREFERENCE
▾
KEY TAKEOUTS
1
UDA supporters back President William Ruto overwhelmingly at 87%, making it his clearest party stronghold.
2
Wiper supporters are firmly behind Kalonzo Musyoka at 89%, the strongest non-Ruto party base in the poll.
3
Jubilee Party supporters lean strongly to Fred Matiang’i at 60%, while DCP is more fragmented, led by Rigathi Gachagua at 24%, with Kalonzo Musyoka and Fred Matiang’i tied at 20%.
4
Among voters with no party preference, the race is fluid: 34% are undecided, while among named aspirants President William Ruto and Fred Matiang’i jointly lead at 14%, ahead of Edwin Sifuna at 13%.
UDA
President William Ruto
87%
Edwin SifunaNone
All other responses13%
ODM
President William Ruto
38%
Edwin Sifuna23%
All other responses39%
DCP
Rigathi Gachagua
24%
Kalonzo Musyoka20%
Fred Matiang’i20%
Edwin Sifuna13%
All other responses23%
WIPER
Kalonzo Musyoka
89%
All other responses11%
JUBILEE PARTY
Fred Matiang’i
60%
Edwin Sifuna12%
President William Ruto11%
All other responses17%
NONE / NO PARTY PREFERENCE
Undecided
34%
President William Ruto14%
Fred Matiang’i14%
Edwin Sifuna13%
All other responses25%
If a presidential election was held today, who would you most likely vote for if that person was a candidate?n = 3000
PRESIDENTIAL ASPIRANTS: SUPPORT BY POLITICAL PARTY PREFERENCE
▾
KEY TAKEOUTS
1
Ruto dominates UDA supporters at 87% and also leads among ODM supporters at 38%.
2
Kalonzo is Wiper’s overwhelming choice at 89%, giving him the clearest party-based stronghold.
3
Jubilee supporters favour Fred Matiang’i at 60%, while DCP voters are split — Rigathi leads at 24%, ahead of Kalonzo and Matiang’i at 20% each.
4
Among respondents with no party preference, the field remains fluid: Undecided leads at 34%, while Ruto tops named aspirants at 14%.
| UDA | ODM | DCP | WIPER | JUBILEE PARTY | None | Overall | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| President William Ruto | 87% | 38% | 6% | 1% | 11% | 14% | 32% |
| Kalonzo Musyoka | 2% | 8% | 20% | 89% | 4% | 10% | 13% |
| Edwin Sifuna | 2% | 23% | 13% | 4% | 12% | 13% | 12% |
| Dr. Fred Matiang’i | 1% | 7% | 20% | 3% | 60% | 14% | 12% |
| Rigathi Gachagua | 0.3% | 2% | 24% | – | 2% | 2% | 4% |
| Babu Owino | 1% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 3% |
| David Maraga | – | 3% | 1% | – | 3% | 2% | 2% |
| Martha Karua | – | 0.4% | – | – | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| Others | 0.2% | 1% | 2% | – | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| Prefer not to say | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 3% |
| Undecided | 6% | 10% | 11% | 1% | 4% | 34% | 18% |
If a presidential election was held today, who would you most likely vote for if that person was a candidate?n = 3000
POPULARITY OF PRESIDENTIAL ASPIRANTS – TREND ANALYSIS
JULY 2026
▾
POPULARITY OF PRESIDENTIAL ASPIRANTS – TREND ANALYSIS
JULY 2026
n = 3000
PRESIDENTIAL POPULARITY TREND OVER TIME
William RutoFred Matiang’iKalonzo MusyokaEdwin SifunaDavid MaragaRigathi GachaguaBabu OwinoMartha KaruaOthers*Refused to say/Undecided
*December 2025 Others combines Gladys Wanga (1%), George Natembeya (1%), Ndindi Nyoro (0.5%), George Wajackoyah (0.2%) and Edwin Sifuna (0.2%).
A) BIGGEST GAINERS SINCE AUGUST 2025
William Ruto+11 pp
Kalonzo Musyoka+5 pp
Rigathi Gachagua0 pp
Babu Owino0 pp
Martha Karua0 pp
Others*0 pp
B) DECLINERS SINCE AUGUST 2025
Fred Matiang’i-3 pp
David Maraga-4 pp
Refused / Undecided-16 pp
C) LATE EMERGING IN JUNE 2026
Edwin Sifuna12% in June, up from 0.2% in December 2025
KEY TAKEOUTS
1
William Ruto has consolidated his front-runner status, rising from 21% in August 2025 to 28% in December 2025 and 32% in June 2026 — a net gain of 11 percentage points.
2
Kalonzo Musyoka has strengthened steadily, moving from 8% to 12% to 13%, making him the closest named challenger in the latest wave.
3
Fred Matiang’i has softened from 15% to 12%, while Edwin Sifuna emerges sharply in June at 12% after negligible visibility in December 2025.
4
The Refused/Undecided bloc has narrowed markedly from 36% to 29% to 20%, suggesting the race is becoming more defined as more voters make up their minds.
If a presidential election was held today, who would you most likely vote for if that person was a candidate?
Source: Infotrak Voice of the People Poll, July 2026 | pp = percentage points
PRESIDENTIAL POPULARITY: KEY TAKEOUTS
JULY 2026
▾
PRESIDENTIAL POPULARITY: KEY TAKEOUTS
JULY 2026
n = 3000
1
Ruto is the clear front-runner
32%
overall
21%in August 2025+11ppincrease
He has widened his lead but remains below majority territory.
2
No challenger has consolidated the field
13% Kalonzo Musyoka
12% Edwin Sifuna
12% Dr. Fred Matiang’i
The opposition vote is split among several contenders, with no single national alternative yet emerging.
3
Regional strength remains the core fault line
North Eastern Ruto 59%
Rift Valley Ruto 46%
Nyanza Ruto 40%
Eastern Kalonzo 40%
Western Ruto 35% | Sifuna 26%
Central Ruto 12% | Kalonzo 13%
Sifuna 11% | Matiang’i 19%
Sifuna 11% | Matiang’i 19%
Nairobi Ruto 19% | Kalonzo 9%
Sifuna 14%
Sifuna 14%
4
Different challengers appeal to different constituencies
Ruto strongest among ages 46–55 at 38% and men at 34%.
Sifuna strongest among ages 18–26 at 20%.
Kalonzo peaks at 16% among over-55s.
Matiang’i peaks at 14% among ages 36–45.
Support bases differ by age and gender rather than consolidated nationally.
5
One in five voters is still movable
36%→20%
August 2025 June 2026
Undecided/refused declined from 36% in August 2025 to 20% in June 2026.
Undecided is highest in Central (26%) and Nairobi (24%).
Source: Infotrak Voice of the People Poll, July 2026 | pp = percentage points
2027 BROADBASE PRESIDENTIAL RUNNING MATE OPTIONS
BEST CHOICE OVERALL & BEST CHOICE TO HELP RUTO IN KEY REGIONS
PREFERRED RUNNING MATE FOR PRESIDENT RUTO IN THE BROAD-BASED GOVERNMENT
▾
KEY TAKEOUT
Public opinion is split: 37% are unsure, while Prof. Kithure Kindiki emerges as the clear preferred running mate at 34%, far ahead of Gladys Wanga at 11%. All other named contenders remain in single digits.
PREFERRED RUNNING MATE (RANKED)
Others (0.4%):
• John Mbadi
• Aden Duale
• John Mbadi
• Aden Duale
Prof. Kithure Kindiki
34%
Gladys Wanga
11%
Oburu Oginga
5%
Hassan Joho
4%
Anne Waiguru
3%
Musalia Mudavadi
2%
Moses Wetangula
2%
Simba Arati
1%
Kindiki is the only named contender above 20%, giving him a commanding lead.
Gladys Wanga ranks a distant second at 11%.
Uncertainty remains high: 37% are not sure, exceeding support for any individual option.
In your opinion, who would be the best running mate for President William Ruto in the Broad-Based Government?n = 3000
PREFERRED RUNNING MATE FOR PRESIDENT RUTO IN THE BROAD-BASED GOVERNMENT
Regional, Gender & Age Breakdown
▾
PREFERRED RUNNING MATE FOR PRESIDENT RUTO IN THE BROAD-BASED GOVERNMENT
KEY TAKEOUTS
1
Prof. Kithure Kindiki is the clear overall frontrunner at 34%, leading both women and men equally at 34% and topping every age cohort.
2
Gladys Wanga is the strongest alternative at 11% overall, with her strongest base in Nyanza (21%) and among 18–26 year olds (19%).
3
Regional support for Kindiki is strongest in North Eastern (44%), Rift Valley (43%) and Eastern (39%), but softer in Central (22%) and Coast (23%).
4
Uncertainty remains high: “Not Sure/Don’t Know” stands at 37% overall, peaking in Nairobi (48%), Central (46%), Coast (45%) and among those over 55 (47%).
Prof. Kithure Kindiki34%
Gladys Wanga11%
Oburu Oginga5%
Hassan Joho4%
Not Sure/Don’t Know37%
BY REGION
| Coast | North Eastern | Eastern | Central | Rift Valley | Western | Nyanza | Nairobi | Overall | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prof. Kithure Kindiki | 23% | 44% | 39% | 22% | 43% | 36% | 28% | 29% | 34% |
| Gladys Wanga | 8% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 13% | 10% | 21% | 8% | 11% |
| Oburu Oginga | 6% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 1% | 6% | 6% | 5% |
| Hassan Joho | 11% | 9% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 4% |
| Not Sure/Don’t Know | 45% | 23% | 35% | 46% | 29% | 41% | 32% | 48% | 37% |
BY GENDER & AGE
| Female | Male | 18–26 years | 27–35 years | 36–45 years | 46–55 years | Over 55 years | Overall | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prof. Kithure Kindiki | 34% | 34% | 31% | 33% | 36% | 37% | 32% | 34% |
| Gladys Wanga | 11% | 12% | 19% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 11% |
| Oburu Oginga | 4% | 6% | 12% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 5% |
| Hassan Joho | 3% | 5% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 4% |
| Not Sure/Don’t Know | 40% | 34% | 19% | 42% | 42% | 42% | 47% | 37% |
Other named options (overall): Anne Waiguru 3%, Musalia Mudavadi 2%, Moses Wetang’ula 2%, Simba Arati 1%, Others 0.4%.
In your opinion, who would be the best running mate for President William Ruto in the Broad-based Formation (Kenya Kwanza + ODM Faction)n = 3000
RUNNING MATES MOST LIKELY TO STRENGTHEN PRESIDENT RUTO’S SUPPORT: REGIONAL SNAPSHOT
▾
MT. KENYA
41%
Prof. Kithure Kindiki
LEADING
14%Anne Waiguru
33%NOT SURE/
DON’T KNOW
DON’T KNOW
NYANZA
35%
Gladys Wanga
LEADING
25%Oburu Oginga
31%NOT SURE/
DON’T KNOW
DON’T KNOW
WESTERN
28%
Musalia Mudavadi
LEADING
22%Moses Wetang’ula
35%NOT SURE/
DON’T KNOW
DON’T KNOW
COAST
60%
Hassan Joho
LEADING
4%Prof. Kithure Kindiki
31%NOT SURE/
DON’T KNOW
DON’T KNOW
KEY TAKEOUTS
1
Coast shows the clearest preference: Hassan Joho dominates at 60%, far ahead of any other option.
2
Mt. Kenya strongly favors Kithure Kindiki at 41%, with Anne Waiguru a distant second at 14%.
3
Nyanza and Western are more competitive: Gladys Wanga leads in Nyanza (35%) while Musalia Mudavadi leads in Western (28%).
4
High Not Sure levels in Mt. Kenya (33%), Nyanza (31%), Western (35%) and Coast (31%) suggest the running-mate conversation is still fluid despite clear front-runners.
RUNNING MATE LIKELY TO STRENGTHEN PRESIDENT RUTO’S SUPPORT: REGIONAL BREAKDOWN
▾
MT. KENYA
Prof. Kithure Kindiki41%
Not Sure/Don’t Know33%
Anne Waiguru14%
Ndindi Nyoro5%
Gladys Wanga2%
Others2%
Musalia Mudavadi1%
Oburu Oginga1%
Hassan Joho1%
Kimani Ichungwah1%
Others include:
Moses Wetangula, Simba Arati, Irungu Kang’ata, Martha Karua, Peter Kenneth.
Moses Wetangula, Simba Arati, Irungu Kang’ata, Martha Karua, Peter Kenneth.
NYANZA
Gladys Wanga35%
Not Sure/Don’t Know31%
Oburu Oginga25%
Prof. Kithure Kindiki4%
Simba Arati1%
Musalia Mudavadi1%
Hassan Joho1%
Moses Wetangula1%
John Mbadi1%
Others1%
Others include:
Anne Waiguru, Raymond Omollo, Winnie Odinga.
Anne Waiguru, Raymond Omollo, Winnie Odinga.
WESTERN
Not Sure/Don’t Know35%
Musalia Mudavadi28%
Moses Wetangula22%
Prof. Kithure Kindiki4%
Simba Arati3%
George Natembeya2%
Gladys Wanga2%
Oburu Oginga2%
Hassan Joho1%
Wycliffe Oparanya1%
Anne Waiguru1%
COAST
Hassan Joho60%
Not Sure/Don’t Know31%
Prof. Kithure Kindiki4%
Others2%
Oburu Oginga1%
Governor Gladys Wanga1%
Mohamed Ali (Jicho Pevu)1%
Musalia Mudavadi1%
Simba Arati1%
Others include:
Abdullswamad Sheriff Nassir, Moses Wetangula, Anne Waiguru, Amason Kingi, Salim Mvurya, Aisha Jumwa.
Abdullswamad Sheriff Nassir, Moses Wetangula, Anne Waiguru, Amason Kingi, Salim Mvurya, Aisha Jumwa.
n = 3000
2027 OPPOSITION PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATES
BEST CHOICE OVERALL & BEST TICKETS
POPULAR PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATES IN THE OPPOSITION
▾
PREFERRED PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE FOR THE OPPOSITION
TOP FOUR CONTENDERS
Kalonzo Musyoka
27%
Dr. Fred Matiang’i
26%
Edwin Sifuna
19%
Rigathi Gachagua
9%
KEY TAKEOUTS
1
Kalonzo Musyoka leads the opposition field at 27%, with Fred Matiang’i close behind at 26% — effectively a two-horse race at the top.
2
Edwin Sifuna posts a notable 19%, establishing himself as the clear third force in the opposition contest.
3
Rigathi Gachagua trails the top three at 9%, while the rest of the field remains in low single digits.
4
At 10%, undecided voters remain a meaningful bloc, suggesting the race is not fully settled.
Whom would you prefer to be the presidential candidate for the opposition?n = 3000
POPULAR PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATES IN THE OPPOSITION: BY REGION, GENDER & AGE
▾
| Candidate | Coast | North Eastern | Eastern | Central | Rift Valley | Western | Nyanza | Nairobi | Female | Male | 18–26 | 27–35 | 36–45 | 46–55 | Over 55 | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalonzo Musyoka | 23% | 34% | 48% | 27% | 24% | 18% | 21% | 22% | 25% | 29% | 24% | 26% | 29% | 28% | 29% | 27% |
| Dr. Fred Matiang’i | 25% | 22% | 21% | 29% | 27% | 25% | 29% | 30% | 25% | 27% | 25% | 23% | 30% | 27% | 24% | 26% |
| Edwin Sifuna | 25% | 10% | 11% | 14% | 17% | 35% | 25% | 20% | 19% | 19% | 27% | 20% | 17% | 16% | 12% | 19% |
| Rigathi Gachagua | 5% | 11% | 8% | 17% | 12% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 9% |
| David Maraga | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 3% |
| Martha Karua | 4% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 2% |
| George Natembeya | 1% | – | 1% | 1% | 3% | 0.3% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 0.5% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| Eugene Wamalwa | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0.2% | 1% | 0.3% | 1% |
| Okiya Omtatah | – | 1% | – | 0.3% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 0.4% | 1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1% | 0.3% | 1% |
| Babu Owino | – | – | 1% | 1% | – | – | 1% | 2% | 1% | 0.3% | 2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | – | 1% |
| Not Sure/Don’t Know | 12% | 17% | 6% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 8% | 4% | 11% | 10% | 14% | 20% | 10% |
Whom would you prefer to be the presidential candidate for the opposition?n = 3000
POPULAR OPPOSITION TICKET:
PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE WITH RUNNING MATE
▾
POPULAR OPPOSITION TICKET:
POPULAR OPPOSITION TICKET OPTIONS
KEY TAKEOUTS
1
The most preferred opposition ticket is Kalonzo Musyoka with Edwin Sifuna at 23%.
2
The second and third-ranked ticket options are very close: Kalonzo Musyoka with Fred Matiang’i has 16%, while Fred Matiang’i with Kalonzo Musyoka has 15%.
3
No single ticket has majority backing, and “Not Sure/Don’t Know” remains high at 21%, signalling an unsettled opposition field.
4
The top two ticket options are both Kalonzo-led combinations.
TOP TICKET
23%
Kalonzo Musyoka with Edwin Sifuna
UNDECIDED
21%
Not Sure/Don’t Know
In your opinion which would be the best Ticket (Presidential Candidate and running mate) for the United Oppositionn = 3000
POPULAR OPPOSITION TICKET: PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE WITH RUNNING MATE
▾
KEY TAKEOUTS
1
Kalonzo Musyoka with Edwin Sifuna is the leading opposition ticket nationally at 23%.
2
The Kalonzo–Sifuna ticket is strongest among 18–26 year olds (31%) and in Western region (36%).
3
Kalonzo Musyoka with Fred Matiang’i ranks second nationally at 16%, with especially strong support in North Eastern (23%) and Eastern (22%).
4
Fred Matiang’i with Kalonzo Musyoka ranks third nationally at 15%, and performs best in Nyanza and Nairobi (19% each) and among ages 36–45 (19%).
5
Uncertainty remains significant: Not Sure/Don’t Know is 21% overall, highest in Nairobi (27%) and among those aged over 55 years (28%); women are more undecided than men (23% vs 18%).
| Coast | North Eastern | Eastern | Central | Rift Valley | Western | Nyanza | Nairobi | Female | Male | 18–26 | 27–35 | 36–45 | 46–55 | Over 55 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalonzo Musyoka with Edwin Sifuna | 26% | 17% | 28% | 14% | 19% | 36% | 26% | 21% | 20% | 26% | 31% | 24% | 20% | 19% | 17% |
| Kalonzo Musyoka with Fred Matiang’i | 15% | 23% | 22% | 15% | 15% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 15% | 16% | 18% | 13% | 17% | 14% | 15% |
| Fred Matiang’i with Kalonzo Musyoka | 15% | 10% | 13% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 19% | 19% | 14% | 16% | 14% | 13% | 19% | 14% | 16% |
| Kalonzo Musyoka with Rigathi Gachagua | 3% | 5% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 7% | 4% | 7% | 5% |
| Rigathi Gachagua with Kalonzo Musyoka | 4% | 5% | 3% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 7% |
| Rigathi Gachagua with Fred Matiang’i | 3% | 6% | 3% | 10% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 4% |
| Fred Matiang’i with Rigathi Gachagua | 3% | 3% | 1% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 3% |
| Kalonzo Musyoka with Martha Karua | 3% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 3% | 5% | 2% |
| Not Sure/Don’t Know | 25% | 22% | 14% | 17% | 22% | 20% | 21% | 27% | 23% | 18% | 11% | 23% | 22% | 25% | 28% |
In your opinion which would be the best Ticket (Presidential Candidate and running mate) for the United Oppositionn = 3000
POLITICAL PARTY & POLITICAL ALLIANCES
POPULARITY
POLITICAL PARTY POPULARITY:
BY OVERALL
▾
POLITICAL PARTY POPULARITY:
▼
22%
United Democratic Alliance (UDA)
▼
21%
Orange Democratic Movement (ODM)
▼
9%
Democracy for Citizens Party (DCP)
▼
5%
Wiper Democratic Front (WDF)
▼
6%
Jubilee Party
None / No Party Preference
29%
Others
2%
2%
I don’t want
to disclose
7%
to disclose
7%
Not sure /
Don’t know
2%
Don’t know
2%
OTHERS INCLUDE:
- FORD-Kenya
- KANU
- Peoples’ Democratic Party (PDP)
- Party of National Unity (PNU)
- Maendeleo Chap Chap Party
- Movement for Democracy and Growth (MDG)
- People’s Liberation Party (PLP)
- Usawa Kwa Wote Party
- United Green Movement (UGM)
- Thirdway Alliance Kenya
- Ukweli Party
- Frontier Alliance Party (FAP)
- NARC
- Muungano Party
- Restore and Build Kenya Party
- Peoples’ Empowerment Party (PEP)
- Kenya National Congress (KNC)
- Chama Cha Mashinani (CCM)
Which political party do you currently feel closest to?n = 3000
POLITICAL PARTY POPULARITY: BY REGION, GENDER & AGE
▾
KEY TAKEOUT
Across regions and demographic groups, no single political party commands majority support. The largest share nationally is for the United Democratic Alliance (UDA) at 22%, followed by the Orange Democratic Movement (ODM) at 21%. A significant proportion of Kenyans do not feel close to any political party: 29% overall across regions and 29% across gender and age groups.
| Political Party | Coast | North Eastern | Eastern | Central | Rift Valley | Western | Nyanza | Nairobi | Female | Male | 18–26 | 27–35 | 36–45 | 46–55 | Over 55 | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| United Democratic Alliance (UDA) | 27% | 45% | 16% | 9% | 39% | 18% | 13% | 8% | 19% | 25% | 17% | 20% | 21% | 27% | 25% | 22% |
| Orange Democratic Movement (ODM) | 46% | 23% | 7% | 6% | 11% | 32% | 50% | 16% | 19% | 23% | 26% | 20% | 20% | 22% | 17% | 21% |
| Democracy for Citizens Party (DCP) | 1% | 1% | 10% | 33% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 13% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 9% |
| Wiper Democratic Front (WDF) | 4% | 1% | 23% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 0.5% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 9% | 5% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 5% |
| Jubilee Party | 3% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 12% | 6% | 5% | 7% | 16% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 6% |
| Others | 2% | 2% | 3% | 0.5% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% |
| I don’t want to disclose | 3% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 6% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 8% | 7% |
| None | 14% | 19% | 30% | 36% | 29% | 34% | 13% | 48% | 32% | 26% | 14% | 35% | 33% | 33% | 31% | 29% |
Which political party do you currently feel closest to?
n = 3000 | Nationwide survey of adults 18 years and above conducted 22nd – 26th June 2026
POLITICAL PARTY POPULARITY – TREND ANALYSIS
JULY 2026
▾
POLITICAL PARTY POPULARITY – TREND ANALYSIS
JULY 2026
n = 3000
POPULARITY OF POLITICAL PARTIES OVER TIME (%)
ODMUDADCPJubilee PartyWiperOthersI don’t want to discloseNone / No party
A) BIGGEST GAINS SINCE SEPTEMBER 2024
UDA+6 pp
DCP+9 pp
None / No party+29 pp
B) BIGGEST DECLINES SINCE SEPTEMBER 2024
ODM-17 pp
I don’t want to disclose-2 pp
Jubilee Party-2 pp
C) LATEST SNAPSHOT JUNE 2026
UDA22%
ODM21%
DCP9%
Jubilee Party6%
Wiper5%
Others2%
I don’t want to disclose7%
None / No party29%
KEY TAKEOUTS
1
ODM led in September 2024 at 38% but stands at 21% in June 2026.
2
UDA rose from 16% in September 2024 to 22% in June 2026 and is the highest named party in the latest wave.
3
DCP entered the trend later and stands at 9% in June 2026.
4
A sizeable non-aligned segment remains: 29% selected None / No party in June 2026, while 7% preferred not to disclose.
Source: Infotrak Voice of the People Poll, July 2026 | pp = percentage points
POPULARITY OF POLITICAL FORMATIONS
▾
NATIONAL OVERALL
KEY TAKEOUTS
1
“None” is the single largest overall response at 28%, showing many Kenyans do not currently identify with any political formation.
2
Broad-Based Government is the most popular named formation at 27%, ahead of Linda Mwananchi (24%) and United Alternative Government (20%).
3
Broad-Based Government is strongest in North Eastern (50%) and Rift Valley (43%). Linda Mwananchi performs best in Western (38%), Nairobi (29%) and Nyanza (28%), and is strongest among 18–26 year olds (33%).
4
United Alternative Government is strongest in Eastern (40%) and Central (35%).
5
Non-alignment is especially high in Coast (40%), Nairobi (39%) and among those aged over 55 years (38%).
BY REGION
| Coast | North Eastern | Eastern | Central | Rift Valley | Western | Nyanza | Nairobi | Overall | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Broad-Based Government | 24% | 50% | 17% | 9% | 43% | 27% | 34% | 14% | 27% |
| Linda Mwananchi | 25% | 17% | 18% | 23% | 20% | 38% | 28% | 29% | 24% |
| United Alternative Government | 11% | 8% | 40% | 35% | 14% | 7% | 16% | 19% | 20% |
| None | 40% | 25% | 25% | 33% | 23% | 28% | 22% | 39% | 28% |
BY GENDER & AGE
| Female | Male | 18–26 | 27–35 | 36–45 | 46–55 | Over 55 | Overall | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Broad-Based Government | 24% | 30% | 27% | 25% | 26% | 31% | 27% | 27% |
| Linda Mwananchi | 21% | 26% | 33% | 27% | 22% | 19% | 12% | 24% |
| United Alternative Government | 21% | 20% | 25% | 16% | 20% | 18% | 21% | 20% |
| None | 34% | 24% | 15% | 32% | 31% | 33% | 38% | 28% |
Which of the following political formations do you feel closest to?n = 3000
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